Water Intelligence Brief · Archive

Caribou County, ID

October 12, 2026

Caribou County, ID — Water Intelligence Brief

October 12, 2026 | Bear River Basin | Free-Tier Edition


Situation Summary

Streamflows across Caribou County's four watersheds are showing a mixed picture this week, with Bear River mainstem readings at the Wyoming border running at 58 cfs and rising, while the Blackfoot River above its reservoir holds steady at a modest 17 cfs — conditions consistent with the tail end of the irrigation season as demand winds down. With principal irrigation deliveries largely concluded for the year, water managers should now be focused on carryover storage positioning and early planning for the 2027 season. Reservoir storage data and 7-day forecast details are available in the full brief.


Snowpack Conditions

Across all eight SNOTEL stations reporting for Caribou County's watersheds, current snowpack readings reflect normal early-October conditions — snow water equivalent (SWE) at or near zero is expected at this point in the calendar, and today's readings are consistent with seasonal norms for mid-October.

| Station | SWE | Snow Depth |

|---|---|---|

| Bear River RS | 0.0" | 0.0" |

| Emigrant Summit | 0.1" | 1.0" |

| Franklin Basin | 0.0" | 1.0" |

| Garden City Summit | 0.0" | 1.0" |

| Giveout | 0.0" | 0.0" |

| Slug Creek Divide | 0.0" | 0.0" |

| Tony Grove Lake | 0.0" | 0.0" |

| USU Doc Daniel | 0.0" (0% of 0.1" median) | 0.0" |

The notable exception is Emigrant Summit, which is reporting the season's first measurable accumulation at 0.1" SWE and 1.0" of snow depth — an early-season signal worth watching but not yet operationally significant. Franklin Basin and Garden City Summit each show 1.0" of snow depth with 0.0" SWE, indicating a light, low-density surface layer without meaningful water content. Background context for 2027 planning: the 2026 season was defined by meltout occurring 4–6 weeks ahead of the historical median meltout date, driven by an anomalous spring heat event — a dynamic that compressed runoff timing and affected summer delivery windows. Whether 2027 follows a similar pattern will depend on accumulation beginning in November and December.


Streamflow Conditions

Ten USGS gauges covering Caribou County's four watersheds show a broadly stable-to-rising pattern this week, with the most notable activity on the Bear River mainstem and Salt River.

Bear River Basin:

  • Bear River at Border, WY: 58 cfs, rising — upper watershed inflow is trending upward, potentially reflecting recent precipitation events upstream.
  • Bear River at Pescadero, ID: 40 cfs, stable — mid-reach flows are holding steady, suggesting limited tributary contribution between the border and Pescadero at this time.
  • Bear River near Corinne, UT: 827 cfs, rising — lower Bear River readings reflect the cumulative effect of the full basin, including reservoir operations and tributary inputs well downstream of Caribou County.
  • Logan River above State Dam, near Logan, UT: 107 cfs, stable — a reliable late-season baseflow signal for this tributary.
  • Little Bear River at Paradise, UT: 40 cfs, rising.
  • Blacksmith Fork ab Up and L Co.'s Dam nr Hyrum, UT: 49 cfs, stable.
  • Malad River near Bear River City, UT: 6 cfs (data as of 05/15 — this reading is stale and should not be used for current operational decisions; contact USGS or IDWR for updated status).
  • Blackfoot River Basin:

  • Blackfoot River above Reservoir near Henry, ID: 17 cfs, stable — modest inflows to Blackfoot Reservoir from the upper watershed. Late-season tributary flows at this level are within typical autumn range.
  • Portneuf River Basin:

  • Portneuf River at Pocatello, ID: 159 cfs, rising — a notable reading for October; users with interests in the Portneuf system should monitor this trend.
  • Salt River Basin:

  • Salt River above Reservoir near Etna, WY: 417 cfs, rising — the highest single tributary reading in the dataset this week and a positive signal for carryover storage in that system heading into the off-season.

  • Seasonal Guidance

  • Contact the Idaho Department of Water Resources Eastern Regional Office in Pocatello ((208) 525-7161) to confirm current water right administration status across Bear River basin water districts as the irrigation season closes.
  • Reach out to U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for current Blackfoot Reservoir operational status and carryover storage figures heading into the 2026–2027 off-season.
  • Contact PacifiCorp and the Bear River Commission for current Bear Lake storage status, which serves as the primary multi-year carryover buffer for the regional Bear River system.
  • Check NRCS Water Supply Forecasts (wcc.nrcs.usda.gov) beginning in November for early-season snowpack outlooks that will frame 2027 irrigation season planning.

  • Subscribe for the full brief including reservoir storage, weather forecasts, depletion analysis, and detailed operational recommendations.


    Data Sources: SNOTEL data through October 11, 2026; USGS streamflow data through October 12, 2026

    Data Current As Of: Idaho Department of Water Resources (Eastern Regional Office in Pocatello, (208) 525-7161, for Bear River basin counties)

    Important Disclaimers: This brief provides automated analysis for informational purposes only. Specific numerical claims have not been independently verified. Consult official sources including your local water district, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (for Blackfoot Reservoir), and PacifiCorp/Bear River Commission (for Bear Lake storage) for regulatory decisions and water rights administration.

    Data & Disclaimers

    Sources: NRCS SNOTEL network · USGS National Water Information System · National Weather Service

    This brief provides automated analysis for informational purposes only. Consult official sources including your local water district and state Division of Water Rights for regulatory decisions. This document does not constitute legal, regulatory, or engineering advice.

    Stay Updated

    Water intelligence, delivered.

    Free seasonal updates on water conditions across the Mountain West.

    Free · Delivered when reports publish