Water Intelligence Brief · Archive

Bear Lake County, ID

October 12, 2026

Bear Lake County, ID — Water Intelligence Brief

October 12, 2026 | Bear River Basin


Situation Summary

Bear River flows at the Border, WY entry point are running at 58 cfs and rising, while the Pescadero, ID gauge reads 40 cfs stable — conditions that signal adequate but modest late-season supply for Bear Lake County irrigators as the 2026 growing season winds down. With October irrigation demands diminishing and most crop water needs met for the year, current flow levels pose limited near-term operational risk, though water managers should monitor the rising trend at Border for any downstream delivery implications. Reservoir storage data and 7-day forecast details are available in the full brief.


Snowpack Conditions

All eight SNOTEL stations serving the Bear River Basin are reporting at or near zero snow water equivalent (SWE) as of October 11, 2026 — a condition that is normal for this point in the calendar year, not indicative of a current deficit. When no percent-of-median figure is shown alongside a 0.0" reading, it means the historical median SWE for that date is also 0.0", confirming stations are at expected seasonal baseline.

Station readings (October 11, 2026):

  • Bear River RS: SWE 0.0", Depth 0.0"
  • Emigrant Summit: SWE 0.1", Depth 1.0" — the sole station showing any snowpack, with a trace accumulation suggesting early-season activity at elevation
  • Franklin Basin: SWE 0.0", Depth 1.0"
  • Garden City Summit: SWE 0.0", Depth 1.0"
  • Giveout: SWE 0.0", Depth 0.0"
  • Slug Creek Divide: SWE 0.0", Depth 0.0"
  • Tony Grove Lake: SWE 0.0", Depth 0.0"
  • USU Doc Daniel: SWE 0.0" (0% of 0.1" median), Depth 0.0"
  • The USU Doc Daniel station is the only one reporting a percent-of-median figure — 0% of a 0.1" median — which at this marginal threshold does not constitute a meaningful below-normal signal. Depth readings of 1.0" at Franklin Basin, Garden City Summit, and Emigrant Summit likely reflect early light snowfall that has not yet produced measurable SWE, or residual surface material.

    As background context: the 2026 water year was defined by an anomalous March heat wave that drove snowpack meltout 4–6 weeks ahead of the historical median meltout date across the Mountain West. That early-season event shaped spring and summer runoff patterns; it is not a current snowpack story as of mid-October.

    The operational snowpack story begins anew with November accumulation. Water managers should begin benchmarking early-season SNOTEL readings as they develop over the coming weeks.


    Streamflow Conditions

    Bear River Basin gauges present a mixed but generally stable picture as of October 12, 2026, with some rising signals worth monitoring.

    Gauge readings:

  • Bear River at Border, WY: 58 cfs, rising — the primary upstream entry point for Bear River flows into the basin; the rising trend merits continued monitoring
  • Bear River at Pescadero, ID: 40 cfs, stable — in-basin mainstem flow reflecting current local conditions
  • Bear River near Corinne, UT: 827 cfs, rising — the substantially higher reading at this downstream Utah gauge reflects cumulative tributary contributions and system storage releases well below Bear Lake County; this is a lower-basin metric rather than a direct Bear Lake County supply indicator
  • Blacksmith Fork ab Upper and Lower Co.'s Dam nr Hyrum, UT: 49 cfs, stable — a lower-basin tributary gauge in Cache County, Utah; provides context for broader Bear River system conditions
  • Little Bear River at Paradise, UT: 40 cfs, rising — another lower-basin Utah tributary; rising signal consistent with the broader basin trend
  • Logan River above State Dam, near Logan, UT: 107 cfs, stable — Cache Valley tributary flow, lower basin context
  • Malad River near Bear River City, UT: 6 cfs — note this reading is dated May 15 and should not be treated as a current operational figure; contact IDWR or USGS for updated data on this gauge
  • The rising trend appearing simultaneously at Border, WY, Corinne, UT, and Little Bear River, UT may reflect recent precipitation events moving through the basin. Bear Lake County irrigators with late-season diversions should confirm current delivery status with their ditch company or water district, as modest flow increases can affect allocation and priority administration at this stage of the season.

    The Pescadero gauge's stable 40 cfs reading represents the most locally relevant Bear Lake County mainstem indicator and suggests no immediate supply disruption for in-county users.


    Seasonal Guidance

  • Contact the Idaho Department of Water Resources Eastern Regional Office (Pocatello, (208) 525-7161) to verify current water rights administration status and confirm any late-season delivery or curtailment notices affecting Bear River Basin users in Bear Lake County.
  • Reach out to PacifiCorp and the Bear River Commission for current Bear Lake storage operational status, as Bear Lake is the primary regional multi-year storage facility governing long-term supply reliability for the basin.
  • Monitor NRCS SNOTEL station updates weekly beginning in November — Emigrant Summit and Franklin Basin are the most locally relevant early-accumulation indicators for Bear Lake County water supply planning.
  • Contact your local irrigation district or ditch company to confirm end-of-season delivery scheduling, diversion closeout dates, and any carry-over water accounting relevant to the 2027 planning year.

  • Subscribe for the full brief including reservoir storage, weather forecasts, depletion analysis, and detailed operational recommendations.


    Data Sources: SNOTEL data through October 11, 2026; USGS streamflow data through October 12, 2026

    Data Current As Of: Idaho Department of Water Resources (Eastern Regional Office in Pocatello, (208) 525-7161, for Bear River basin counties)

    Important Disclaimers: This brief provides automated analysis for informational purposes only. Specific numerical claims have not been independently verified. Consult official sources including your local water district, PacifiCorp/Bear River Commission (for Bear Lake storage operations) and local irrigation districts for regulatory decisions and water rights administration.

    Data & Disclaimers

    Sources: NRCS SNOTEL network · USGS National Water Information System · National Weather Service

    This brief provides automated analysis for informational purposes only. Consult official sources including your local water district and state Division of Water Rights for regulatory decisions. This document does not constitute legal, regulatory, or engineering advice.

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